Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:05 PM, 208 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,757 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 151,718 - 223,905). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	12:05 PM	2621	c(2.5% = 2340)	c(97.5% = 2905)
02	12:05 PM	4303	c(2.5% = 3832)	c(97.5% = 4712)
03	12:05 PM	2338	c(2.5% = 1952)	c(97.5% = 2868)
04	12:05 PM	2334	c(2.5% = 1927)	c(97.5% = 2909)
05	12:05 PM	6408	c(2.5% = 5475)	c(97.5% = 7354)
06	12:05 PM	1597	c(2.5% = 1387)	c(97.5% = 1966)
07	12:05 PM	1532	c(2.5% = 860)	c(97.5% = 2150)
08	12:05 PM	5892	c(2.5% = 5237)	c(97.5% = 6411)
09	12:05 PM	2761	c(2.5% = 2467)	c(97.5% = 3128)
10	12:05 PM	3397	c(2.5% = 2941)	c(97.5% = 4351)
11	12:05 PM	1473	c(2.5% = 1210)	c(97.5% = 1897)
12	12:05 PM	2568	c(2.5% = 2182)	c(97.5% = 3205)
13	12:05 PM	2302	c(2.5% = 1935)	c(97.5% = 2913)
14	12:05 PM	1037	c(2.5% = 907)	c(97.5% = 1251)
15	12:05 PM	3070	c(2.5% = 2720)	c(97.5% = 3388)
16	12:05 PM	1230	c(2.5% = 970)	c(97.5% = 1565)
17	12:05 PM	2831	c(2.5% = 2397)	c(97.5% = 3537)
18	12:05 PM	2682	c(2.5% = 2234)	c(97.5% = 3029)
19	12:05 PM	1141	c(2.5% = 759)	c(97.5% = 1539)
20	12:05 PM	1178	c(2.5% = 862)	c(97.5% = 1514)
21	12:05 PM	6873	c(2.5% = 5512)	c(97.5% = 7785)
22	12:05 PM	3669	c(2.5% = 3265)	c(97.5% = 4257)
23	12:05 PM	2177	c(2.5% = 1639)	c(97.5% = 2661)
24	12:05 PM	1891	c(2.5% = 1476)	c(97.5% = 2296)
25	12:05 PM	1801	c(2.5% = 1194)	c(97.5% = 2338)
26	12:05 PM	2624	c(2.5% = 2140)	c(97.5% = 2918)
27	12:05 PM	3578	c(2.5% = 2359)	c(97.5% = 4336)
28	12:05 PM	1306	c(2.5% = 1044)	c(97.5% = 1699)
29	12:05 PM	1346	c(2.5% = 1158)	c(97.5% = 1613)
30	12:05 PM	2777	c(2.5% = 2537)	c(97.5% = 3197)
31	12:05 PM	2367	c(2.5% = 1961)	c(97.5% = 2591)
32	12:05 PM	2197	c(2.5% = 1716)	c(97.5% = 2816)
33	12:05 PM	1829	c(2.5% = 1081)	c(97.5% = 2443)
34	12:05 PM	4913	c(2.5% = 4300)	c(97.5% = 5965)
35	12:05 PM	3344	c(2.5% = 2422)	c(97.5% = 4116)
36	12:05 PM	4065	c(2.5% = 3561)	c(97.5% = 4748)
37	12:05 PM	1404	c(2.5% = 1073)	c(97.5% = 1801)
38	12:05 PM	2476	c(2.5% = 2127)	c(97.5% = 2923)
39	12:05 PM	5052	c(2.5% = 4078)	c(97.5% = 5565)
40	12:05 PM	5160	c(2.5% = 4137)	c(97.5% = 6442)
41	12:05 PM	1978	c(2.5% = 1279)	c(97.5% = 2564)
42	12:05 PM	2553	c(2.5% = 1806)	c(97.5% = 3334)
43	12:05 PM	1957	c(2.5% = 1335)	c(97.5% = 2634)
44	12:05 PM	1571	c(2.5% = 1293)	c(97.5% = 1955)
45	12:05 PM	2276	c(2.5% = 1558)	c(97.5% = 2922)
46	12:05 PM	3073	c(2.5% = 2831)	c(97.5% = 3562)
47	12:05 PM	978	c(2.5% = 787)	c(97.5% = 1214)
48	12:05 PM	2306	c(2.5% = 1853)	c(97.5% = 2809)
49	12:05 PM	2858	c(2.5% = 2351)	c(97.5% = 3592)
50	12:05 PM	3997	c(2.5% = 3567)	c(97.5% = 4788)
51	12:05 PM	2560	c(2.5% = 2156)	c(97.5% = 3249)
52	12:05 PM	3153	c(2.5% = 2732)	c(97.5% = 3784)
53	12:05 PM	2254	c(2.5% = 1552)	c(97.5% = 2827)
54	12:05 PM	1621	c(2.5% = 994)	c(97.5% = 2127)
55	12:05 PM	2570	c(2.5% = 1725)	c(97.5% = 3323)
56	12:05 PM	3789	c(2.5% = 2682)	c(97.5% = 4861)
57	12:05 PM	3328	c(2.5% = 2414)	c(97.5% = 4160)
58	12:05 PM	5575	c(2.5% = 3951)	c(97.5% = 7033)
59	12:05 PM	2764	c(2.5% = 2391)	c(97.5% = 3377)
60	12:05 PM	2186	c(2.5% = 1882)	c(97.5% = 2671)
61	12:05 PM	3419	c(2.5% = 2764)	c(97.5% = 4334)
62	12:05 PM	2418	c(2.5% = 1555)	c(97.5% = 3104)
63	12:05 PM	3158	c(2.5% = 2538)	c(97.5% = 3829)
64	12:05 PM	1755	c(2.5% = 1262)	c(97.5% = 2229)
65	12:05 PM	2586	c(2.5% = 1963)	c(97.5% = 3269)
66	12:05 PM	5531	c(2.5% = 4173)	c(97.5% = 6888)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:11 AM	3103	151
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122
10:00 AM	0114	85
10:00 AM	0115	139
10:00 AM	0116	68
10:00 AM	0117	79
10:00 AM	0118	121
10:00 AM	0119	75
10:00 AM	0120	106
10:00 AM	0121	130
11:17 AM	3943	119
11:00 AM	1811	150
11:18 AM	4701	135
11:00 AM	3103	5
11:15 AM	0526	175
11:00 AM	5904	142
8:30 AM	0504	105
11:22 AM	1503	156
9:02 AM	0120	63
8:10 AM	0819	60
11:29 AM	0213	47
9:15 AM	0904	69
11:30 AM	3914	140
11:30 AM	4920	110
10:00 AM	3945	156
11:00 AM	0102	111
11:00 AM	0108	105
11:00 AM	0109	89
11:00 AM	0107	54
11:30 AM	0833	124
11:00 AM	0104	120
7:50 AM	4622	31
11:00 AM	0105	47
11:30 AM	1810	140
11:39 AM	0834	106
11:32 AM	0116	99
11:43 AM	0537	122
11:43 AM	0501	99
11:45 AM	2702	88
11:40 AM	4808	118
11:53 AM	0528	194
11:45 AM	1815	121
11:45 AM	1816	192
11:45 AM	1817	193
11:45 AM	0217	111
11:50 AM	3610	112
11:50 AM	0217	112
12:00 PM	3637	153
12:00 PM	3638	118
9:40 AM	0218	88
12:05 PM	0110	127
9:20 AM	0803	123
9:22 AM	0803	125
11:00 AM	0209	104

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions