Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 12:05 PM, 208 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,757 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 151,718 - 223,905). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 12:05 PM | 2621 |
c(2.5% = 2340)
|
c(97.5% = 2905)
|
| 02 | 12:05 PM | 4303 |
c(2.5% = 3832)
|
c(97.5% = 4712)
|
| 03 | 12:05 PM | 2338 |
c(2.5% = 1952)
|
c(97.5% = 2868)
|
| 04 | 12:05 PM | 2334 |
c(2.5% = 1927)
|
c(97.5% = 2909)
|
| 05 | 12:05 PM | 6408 |
c(2.5% = 5475)
|
c(97.5% = 7354)
|
| 06 | 12:05 PM | 1597 |
c(2.5% = 1387)
|
c(97.5% = 1966)
|
| 07 | 12:05 PM | 1532 |
c(2.5% = 860)
|
c(97.5% = 2150)
|
| 08 | 12:05 PM | 5892 |
c(2.5% = 5237)
|
c(97.5% = 6411)
|
| 09 | 12:05 PM | 2761 |
c(2.5% = 2467)
|
c(97.5% = 3128)
|
| 10 | 12:05 PM | 3397 |
c(2.5% = 2941)
|
c(97.5% = 4351)
|
| 11 | 12:05 PM | 1473 |
c(2.5% = 1210)
|
c(97.5% = 1897)
|
| 12 | 12:05 PM | 2568 |
c(2.5% = 2182)
|
c(97.5% = 3205)
|
| 13 | 12:05 PM | 2302 |
c(2.5% = 1935)
|
c(97.5% = 2913)
|
| 14 | 12:05 PM | 1037 |
c(2.5% = 907)
|
c(97.5% = 1251)
|
| 15 | 12:05 PM | 3070 |
c(2.5% = 2720)
|
c(97.5% = 3388)
|
| 16 | 12:05 PM | 1230 |
c(2.5% = 970)
|
c(97.5% = 1565)
|
| 17 | 12:05 PM | 2831 |
c(2.5% = 2397)
|
c(97.5% = 3537)
|
| 18 | 12:05 PM | 2682 |
c(2.5% = 2234)
|
c(97.5% = 3029)
|
| 19 | 12:05 PM | 1141 |
c(2.5% = 759)
|
c(97.5% = 1539)
|
| 20 | 12:05 PM | 1178 |
c(2.5% = 862)
|
c(97.5% = 1514)
|
| 21 | 12:05 PM | 6873 |
c(2.5% = 5512)
|
c(97.5% = 7785)
|
| 22 | 12:05 PM | 3669 |
c(2.5% = 3265)
|
c(97.5% = 4257)
|
| 23 | 12:05 PM | 2177 |
c(2.5% = 1639)
|
c(97.5% = 2661)
|
| 24 | 12:05 PM | 1891 |
c(2.5% = 1476)
|
c(97.5% = 2296)
|
| 25 | 12:05 PM | 1801 |
c(2.5% = 1194)
|
c(97.5% = 2338)
|
| 26 | 12:05 PM | 2624 |
c(2.5% = 2140)
|
c(97.5% = 2918)
|
| 27 | 12:05 PM | 3578 |
c(2.5% = 2359)
|
c(97.5% = 4336)
|
| 28 | 12:05 PM | 1306 |
c(2.5% = 1044)
|
c(97.5% = 1699)
|
| 29 | 12:05 PM | 1346 |
c(2.5% = 1158)
|
c(97.5% = 1613)
|
| 30 | 12:05 PM | 2777 |
c(2.5% = 2537)
|
c(97.5% = 3197)
|
| 31 | 12:05 PM | 2367 |
c(2.5% = 1961)
|
c(97.5% = 2591)
|
| 32 | 12:05 PM | 2197 |
c(2.5% = 1716)
|
c(97.5% = 2816)
|
| 33 | 12:05 PM | 1829 |
c(2.5% = 1081)
|
c(97.5% = 2443)
|
| 34 | 12:05 PM | 4913 |
c(2.5% = 4300)
|
c(97.5% = 5965)
|
| 35 | 12:05 PM | 3344 |
c(2.5% = 2422)
|
c(97.5% = 4116)
|
| 36 | 12:05 PM | 4065 |
c(2.5% = 3561)
|
c(97.5% = 4748)
|
| 37 | 12:05 PM | 1404 |
c(2.5% = 1073)
|
c(97.5% = 1801)
|
| 38 | 12:05 PM | 2476 |
c(2.5% = 2127)
|
c(97.5% = 2923)
|
| 39 | 12:05 PM | 5052 |
c(2.5% = 4078)
|
c(97.5% = 5565)
|
| 40 | 12:05 PM | 5160 |
c(2.5% = 4137)
|
c(97.5% = 6442)
|
| 41 | 12:05 PM | 1978 |
c(2.5% = 1279)
|
c(97.5% = 2564)
|
| 42 | 12:05 PM | 2553 |
c(2.5% = 1806)
|
c(97.5% = 3334)
|
| 43 | 12:05 PM | 1957 |
c(2.5% = 1335)
|
c(97.5% = 2634)
|
| 44 | 12:05 PM | 1571 |
c(2.5% = 1293)
|
c(97.5% = 1955)
|
| 45 | 12:05 PM | 2276 |
c(2.5% = 1558)
|
c(97.5% = 2922)
|
| 46 | 12:05 PM | 3073 |
c(2.5% = 2831)
|
c(97.5% = 3562)
|
| 47 | 12:05 PM | 978 |
c(2.5% = 787)
|
c(97.5% = 1214)
|
| 48 | 12:05 PM | 2306 |
c(2.5% = 1853)
|
c(97.5% = 2809)
|
| 49 | 12:05 PM | 2858 |
c(2.5% = 2351)
|
c(97.5% = 3592)
|
| 50 | 12:05 PM | 3997 |
c(2.5% = 3567)
|
c(97.5% = 4788)
|
| 51 | 12:05 PM | 2560 |
c(2.5% = 2156)
|
c(97.5% = 3249)
|
| 52 | 12:05 PM | 3153 |
c(2.5% = 2732)
|
c(97.5% = 3784)
|
| 53 | 12:05 PM | 2254 |
c(2.5% = 1552)
|
c(97.5% = 2827)
|
| 54 | 12:05 PM | 1621 |
c(2.5% = 994)
|
c(97.5% = 2127)
|
| 55 | 12:05 PM | 2570 |
c(2.5% = 1725)
|
c(97.5% = 3323)
|
| 56 | 12:05 PM | 3789 |
c(2.5% = 2682)
|
c(97.5% = 4861)
|
| 57 | 12:05 PM | 3328 |
c(2.5% = 2414)
|
c(97.5% = 4160)
|
| 58 | 12:05 PM | 5575 |
c(2.5% = 3951)
|
c(97.5% = 7033)
|
| 59 | 12:05 PM | 2764 |
c(2.5% = 2391)
|
c(97.5% = 3377)
|
| 60 | 12:05 PM | 2186 |
c(2.5% = 1882)
|
c(97.5% = 2671)
|
| 61 | 12:05 PM | 3419 |
c(2.5% = 2764)
|
c(97.5% = 4334)
|
| 62 | 12:05 PM | 2418 |
c(2.5% = 1555)
|
c(97.5% = 3104)
|
| 63 | 12:05 PM | 3158 |
c(2.5% = 2538)
|
c(97.5% = 3829)
|
| 64 | 12:05 PM | 1755 |
c(2.5% = 1262)
|
c(97.5% = 2229)
|
| 65 | 12:05 PM | 2586 |
c(2.5% = 1963)
|
c(97.5% = 3269)
|
| 66 | 12:05 PM | 5531 |
c(2.5% = 4173)
|
c(97.5% = 6888)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
| 12:05 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 9:20 AM | 0803 | 123 |
| 9:22 AM | 0803 | 125 |
| 11:00 AM | 0209 | 104 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions