Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:05 PM, 208 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,757 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 151,718 - 223,905). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 12:05 PM 2621 c(2.5% = 2340) c(97.5% = 2905)
02 12:05 PM 4303 c(2.5% = 3832) c(97.5% = 4712)
03 12:05 PM 2338 c(2.5% = 1952) c(97.5% = 2868)
04 12:05 PM 2334 c(2.5% = 1927) c(97.5% = 2909)
05 12:05 PM 6408 c(2.5% = 5475) c(97.5% = 7354)
06 12:05 PM 1597 c(2.5% = 1387) c(97.5% = 1966)
07 12:05 PM 1532 c(2.5% = 860) c(97.5% = 2150)
08 12:05 PM 5892 c(2.5% = 5237) c(97.5% = 6411)
09 12:05 PM 2761 c(2.5% = 2467) c(97.5% = 3128)
10 12:05 PM 3397 c(2.5% = 2941) c(97.5% = 4351)
11 12:05 PM 1473 c(2.5% = 1210) c(97.5% = 1897)
12 12:05 PM 2568 c(2.5% = 2182) c(97.5% = 3205)
13 12:05 PM 2302 c(2.5% = 1935) c(97.5% = 2913)
14 12:05 PM 1037 c(2.5% = 907) c(97.5% = 1251)
15 12:05 PM 3070 c(2.5% = 2720) c(97.5% = 3388)
16 12:05 PM 1230 c(2.5% = 970) c(97.5% = 1565)
17 12:05 PM 2831 c(2.5% = 2397) c(97.5% = 3537)
18 12:05 PM 2682 c(2.5% = 2234) c(97.5% = 3029)
19 12:05 PM 1141 c(2.5% = 759) c(97.5% = 1539)
20 12:05 PM 1178 c(2.5% = 862) c(97.5% = 1514)
21 12:05 PM 6873 c(2.5% = 5512) c(97.5% = 7785)
22 12:05 PM 3669 c(2.5% = 3265) c(97.5% = 4257)
23 12:05 PM 2177 c(2.5% = 1639) c(97.5% = 2661)
24 12:05 PM 1891 c(2.5% = 1476) c(97.5% = 2296)
25 12:05 PM 1801 c(2.5% = 1194) c(97.5% = 2338)
26 12:05 PM 2624 c(2.5% = 2140) c(97.5% = 2918)
27 12:05 PM 3578 c(2.5% = 2359) c(97.5% = 4336)
28 12:05 PM 1306 c(2.5% = 1044) c(97.5% = 1699)
29 12:05 PM 1346 c(2.5% = 1158) c(97.5% = 1613)
30 12:05 PM 2777 c(2.5% = 2537) c(97.5% = 3197)
31 12:05 PM 2367 c(2.5% = 1961) c(97.5% = 2591)
32 12:05 PM 2197 c(2.5% = 1716) c(97.5% = 2816)
33 12:05 PM 1829 c(2.5% = 1081) c(97.5% = 2443)
34 12:05 PM 4913 c(2.5% = 4300) c(97.5% = 5965)
35 12:05 PM 3344 c(2.5% = 2422) c(97.5% = 4116)
36 12:05 PM 4065 c(2.5% = 3561) c(97.5% = 4748)
37 12:05 PM 1404 c(2.5% = 1073) c(97.5% = 1801)
38 12:05 PM 2476 c(2.5% = 2127) c(97.5% = 2923)
39 12:05 PM 5052 c(2.5% = 4078) c(97.5% = 5565)
40 12:05 PM 5160 c(2.5% = 4137) c(97.5% = 6442)
41 12:05 PM 1978 c(2.5% = 1279) c(97.5% = 2564)
42 12:05 PM 2553 c(2.5% = 1806) c(97.5% = 3334)
43 12:05 PM 1957 c(2.5% = 1335) c(97.5% = 2634)
44 12:05 PM 1571 c(2.5% = 1293) c(97.5% = 1955)
45 12:05 PM 2276 c(2.5% = 1558) c(97.5% = 2922)
46 12:05 PM 3073 c(2.5% = 2831) c(97.5% = 3562)
47 12:05 PM 978 c(2.5% = 787) c(97.5% = 1214)
48 12:05 PM 2306 c(2.5% = 1853) c(97.5% = 2809)
49 12:05 PM 2858 c(2.5% = 2351) c(97.5% = 3592)
50 12:05 PM 3997 c(2.5% = 3567) c(97.5% = 4788)
51 12:05 PM 2560 c(2.5% = 2156) c(97.5% = 3249)
52 12:05 PM 3153 c(2.5% = 2732) c(97.5% = 3784)
53 12:05 PM 2254 c(2.5% = 1552) c(97.5% = 2827)
54 12:05 PM 1621 c(2.5% = 994) c(97.5% = 2127)
55 12:05 PM 2570 c(2.5% = 1725) c(97.5% = 3323)
56 12:05 PM 3789 c(2.5% = 2682) c(97.5% = 4861)
57 12:05 PM 3328 c(2.5% = 2414) c(97.5% = 4160)
58 12:05 PM 5575 c(2.5% = 3951) c(97.5% = 7033)
59 12:05 PM 2764 c(2.5% = 2391) c(97.5% = 3377)
60 12:05 PM 2186 c(2.5% = 1882) c(97.5% = 2671)
61 12:05 PM 3419 c(2.5% = 2764) c(97.5% = 4334)
62 12:05 PM 2418 c(2.5% = 1555) c(97.5% = 3104)
63 12:05 PM 3158 c(2.5% = 2538) c(97.5% = 3829)
64 12:05 PM 1755 c(2.5% = 1262) c(97.5% = 2229)
65 12:05 PM 2586 c(2.5% = 1963) c(97.5% = 3269)
66 12:05 PM 5531 c(2.5% = 4173) c(97.5% = 6888)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions